“Mortgage rates continue to trend down, increasing optimism for new buyers and current owners alike,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “As rates continue to drop, the number of homeowners who have the opportunity to refinance is expanding. In fact, the share of market mortgage applications that were for a refinance reached nearly 47%, the highest since October.”
The 30-year FRM averaged 6.50% as of September 4, 2025, down from last week when it averaged 6.56%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.35%.
The 15-year FRM averaged 5.60%, down from last week when it averaged 5.69%. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.47%.
The PMMS® is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20% down and have excellent credit.
Even with more homes on the market right now, some buyers are still having a tough time finding the right one at the right price. Maybe the layout feels off. Maybe it still needs some updating. Or maybe it’s just more of the same.
That’s why more buyers are turning to new construction – and finding some of the best deals available today.
Why? Today, many builders have more homes that are finished and sitting on the market than normal. And that means they’re motivated to sell. They’re running a business, and they don’t want to sit on their inventory. They want to sell it before they build more homes. And that can definitely work in your favor.
As Lance Lambert, Co-Founder of ResiClub, puts it:
“In housing markets where unsold completed inventory has built up, many homebuilders have pulled back on their spec builds—and many are doing bigger incentives or outright price cuts to move unsold inventory.”
Incentives Are the Highest They’ve Been in 5 Years
Data from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) shows 66% of builders offered sales incentives in August. That’s the peak so far this year, and the highest percentage we’ve seen in 5 years.
That means 2 out of every 3 builders are offering something extra to get deals done. And when builders throw in incentives, it’s the buyers like you who win.
Price Cuts Are Back on the Table
One of the most common incentives they’re offering right now is adjusting the price. According to NAHB, almost 40% of builders are doing price cuts (see graph below):
On average they’re taking off about 5% off the purchase price of the house. For a buyer, 5% could be the difference between reluctantly settling and finally getting a home that works for you.
Take a $500,000 house as an example. If builders reduce the price by 5%, you’re saving $25,000.
And even if the builder you’re interested in won’t budge on price, they’ve got plenty of other levers to pull. As Realtor.com explains:
“. . . there are deals to be found in the market for new homes, with builders increasingly willing to negotiate on price or offer incentives such as rate buydowns and closing cost assistance.”
Why This Matters for You
As a buyer, you probably have a clear vision for your ideal home. Because you’re not just buying any house. You’re buying your house. The one with the space, features, and lifestyle you’ve been hoping for. New builds can check those boxes since they usually have:
Bigger kitchens and open layouts
Energy efficiency (hello lower utility bills)
Smart-home upgrades
Fewer repair headaches on day one
And today’s incentives make buying a new home more attainable than it’s been in years.
One Word of Advice: Don’t Go At It Alone
If you want to take advantage of this opportunity, just be sure to use your own agent. Builder reps aren’t there to save you money. They protect the builder’s bottom line. That’s why you need to bring your agent with you. Your agent will:
Cut through the sales pitch and run the cold hard numbers
Spot which incentives are actually worth it (and which ones are fluff)
Handle negotiations so you walk away with the best deal possible
Keep your best interest as their top priority
Bottom Line
If you’re not finding a home you love, the new home market is buzzing with opportunity. With record-high incentives, price cuts in play, and builders itching to move inventory, this is the best time in years to buy new construction.
Curious how far today’s incentives could stretch your budget? Let’s connect so you can see what builders are offering in our area.
You may be seeing headlines about how foreclosures are rising. And if that makes you nervous that we’re headed for another crash, here’s what you should know.
According to ATTOM, during the housing crash, over nine million people went through some sort of distressed sale (2007-2011). Last year, there were just over 300,000.
So, even with the increase lately, we’re talking about numbers that are dramatically lower. But what does the future hold? Is a wave coming? The short answer is, no.
Here’s why. Experts in the industry look at mortgage delinquencies (loans that are more than 30 days past due) as an early sign for potential foreclosures down the line. And the latest data for delinquencies is reassuring about the market overall.
Right now, delinquencies as a whole are consistent with where we ended last year, which means we’re not seeing the kind of increase that would signal widespread trouble.
But there are some key indicators to continue to watch. Marina Walsh, Vice President of Industry Analysis at the Mortgage Bankers Association, explains:
“While overall mortgage delinquencies are relatively flat compared to last year, the composition has changed.”
Right now, borrowers with FHA mortgages currently make up the biggest share of new delinquencies (see graph below):
And here’s why that may be happening. Borrowers with FHA mortgages may be more sensitive to shifts in the economy. And with recession fears, stubborn inflation, employment challenges, and more, it makes sense this segment of the market may be feeling it a bit more. But that doesn’t mean it’s a signal a crash is coming.
If you look back at the graph, it shows, while there are more FHA loans experiencing hardship than the norm, delinquency rates for other loan types remain low and stable. Back during the crash, delinquency rates were significantly elevated for all 4 categories.
That means the broader mortgage market is on much stronger footing than it was back in 2008. As ResiClubsays:
“The recent uptick in mortgage delinquency seems to be concentrated among FHA borrowers, however, mortgage performance remains very solid when viewed in light of the twenty-year history of our data.”
The Region with the Most FHA Loans
Here’s another reason this isn’t a signal of trouble ahead. FHA loans only make up about 12% of all home loans nationwide. But like anything else in housing, local data matters. There are some regions of the country where there are more of this type of loan than others, particularly the South.
The map below does not show how many FHA loans are delinquent. It just shows the overall concentration of FHA loans by state, so you can see which regions have the greatest volume (see map below):
“Looking at geographic concentrations of loans, recent data indicate that a higher proportion of mortgage balances are delinquent in many of the southern states . . . we see that higher delinquency rates coincide with a higher share of FHA loans across states.”
Just remember, even the delinquencies rates we’re seeing now aren’t as high as they were in 2008. Again, this is not a signal of a crisis. But it is something experts will monitor in the months ahead.
If You’re Experiencing Financial Hardship
No one wants to see anyone face the challenges of foreclosure. But just know that, if you’re a homeowner struggling with payments, you’re not alone – and you do have options.
The first step is reaching out to your mortgage provider. In many cases, you may be able to set up a repayment plan or explore loan modifications to help you stay on track. And for many homeowners today, you may also have enough equity to sell your house and avoid foreclosure. Odds are, at least some of these delinquencies will go that route since homeowners today have near record amounts of equity in their homes. It may be worth seeing if that could be an option for you too.
Bottom Line
Foreclosures are rising slightly, but they’re nowhere near the levels of 2008. And delinquency trends don’t point to a crash ahead.
This is something industry professionals are going to watch in the days ahead. If you want to stay up to date, let’s connect so you always have the latest information.
You may have seen talk online that new home inventory is at its highest level since the crash. And if you lived through the crash back in 2008, seeing new construction is up again may feel a little scary.
But here’s what you need to remember: a lot of what you see online is designed to get clicks. So, you may not be getting the full story. A closer look at the data and a little expert insight can change your perspective completely.
Why This Isn’t Like 2008
While it’s true the number of new homes on the market hit its highest level since the crash, that’s not a reason to worry. That’s because new builds are just one piece of the puzzle. They don’t tell the full story of what’s happening today.
To get the real picture of how much inventory we have and how it compares to the surplus we saw back then, you’ve got to look at both new homes and existing homes (homes that were lived in by a previous owner).
When you combine those two numbers, it’s clear overall supply looks very different today than it did around the crash (see graph below):
So,saying we’re near 2008 levels for new construction isn’t the same as the inventory surplus we did the last time.
Builders Have Actually Underbuilt for Over a Decade
And here’s some other important perspective you’re not going to get from those headlines. After the 2008 crash, builders slammed on the brakes. For 15 years, they didn’t build enough homes to keep up with demand. That long stretch of underbuilding created a major housing shortage, which we’re still dealing with today.
The graph below uses Censusdata to show the overbuilding leading up to the crash (in red), and the period of underbuilding that followed (in orange):
Basically, we had more than 15 straight years of underbuilding – and we’re only recently starting to slowly climb out of that hole. But there’s still a long way to go (even with the growth we’ve seen lately). Experts at Realtor.comsay it would roughly 7.5 years to build enough homes to close the gap.
Of course, like anything else in real estate, the level of supply and demand is going to vary by market. Some markets may have more homes for sale, some less. But nationally, this isn’t like the last time.
Bottom Line
Just because there are more new homes for sale right now, it doesn’t mean we’re headed for a crash. The data shows today’s overall inventory situation is different.
If you have questions or want to talk about what builders are doing in our area, let’s connect.
If you tried to buy a home a few years ago, you probably still remember the frenzy. Homes were listed one day and gone the next. Sometimes it only took hours. You had to drop everything to go and see the house, and if you hesitated even slightly, someone else swooped in and bought it – sometimes even sight unseen.
That kind of intensity pushed a lot of buyers to the sidelines. It was stressful, chaotic, and for many, really discouraging.
But here’s what you need to know: those days are behind us.
Today’s market is moving slower, in the best possible way. And that’s creating more opportunity for buyers who felt shut out in recent years.
The Stat That Changes Everything
According to the latest data, homes are spending an average of 58 days on the market. That’s much more normal. And it’s a big improvement compared to the height of the pandemic, when homes were flying off the shelves in a matter of days (see graph below):
That means you now have more time to make decisions than you have at any point in the past five years. And that’s a big deal. Now, you’ve got:
Time to think.
Time to negotiate.
Time tomake a smart move without all the pressure.
More Time Means Less Stress (and More Leverage)
Based on the data in the graph above, you have an extra week to decide compared to last year. And nearly double the time you would have had at the market’s peak.
Back then, fear of missing out drove buyers to act fast, sometimes too fast. Today, the pace is slower, which means you’re in control. As Bankrate puts it:
“For years, buyers have been racing to snag homes because of the fierce competition. But the market’s cooled off a bit now, and that gives buyers some breathing room. Homes are staying listed longer, so buyers can slow down, weigh their options and make more confident decisions.”
With more homes on the market and fewer buyers racing to grab them, the balance has shifted. Bidding wars aren’t as common, and that means you may have room to negotiate. And you can actually take a breath before you make your decision.
More listings + a slower pace = less stress and more opportunity
But, and this is important, it still depends on where you’re buying. Nationally, homes are moving slower. But your local market sets your real pace. Some states are moving faster than others. It may even vary down to the specific zip code or neighborhood you’re looking at. And that’s why working with an agent to know what’s happening in your area is more important than ever.
To see how your state compares to the national average (58 days), check out the map below:
As Realtor.com explains:
“While national headlines might suggest a buyer’s market is taking hold, the reality on the ground depends heavily on where and what you’re trying to buy. Local trends can diverge sharply from national averages, especially when you factor in price range, property type, and post-pandemic market dynamics.”
A smart local agent can tell you exactly when to move fast and when you can take your time, so you never miss the right home for you.
Bottom Line
If the chaos of the past few years drove you to hit pause, this is your green light. The market’s pace has shifted. You have more time. More options. More power.
And with the right agent guiding you, you’re in the best position you’ve been in for years.
Let’s talk about what the pace looks like in our area, and if now could be the right time for you to re-enter the market.
“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage remained flat this week,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Over the summer, rates have come down and purchase applications are outpacing 2024, though a number of homebuyers continue waiting on the sideline for rates to further decrease.”
The 30-year FRM averaged 6.58% as of August 21, 2025, unchanged from last week. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.46%.
The 15-year FRM averaged 5.69%, down slightly from last week when it averaged 5.71%. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.62%.
The PMMS® is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20% down and have excellent credit.
“Mortgage rates fell to their lowest level since October,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Purchase application activity is improving as borrowers take advantage of the decline in mortgage rates.”
The 30-year FRM averaged 6.58% as of August 14, 2025, down from last week when it averaged 6.63%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.49%.
The 15-year FRM averaged 5.71%, down from last week when it averaged 5.75%. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.66%.
The PMMS® is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20% down and have excellent credit.
Almost half of sellers are making concessions right now to get their house sold. If you want to know which concessions are working for sellers in our market, reach out.
“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropped to its lowest level since April,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “The decline in rates increases prospective homebuyers’ purchasing power and our research shows that buyers can save thousands by getting quotes from a few different lenders.”
The 30-year FRM averaged 6.63% as of August 7, 2025, down from last week when it averaged 6.72%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.47%.
The 15-year FRM averaged 5.75%, down from last week when it averaged 5.85%. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.63%.
The PMMS® is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20% down and have excellent credit.
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On average they’re taking off about 5% off the purchase price of the house. For a buyer, 5% could be the difference between reluctantly settling and finally getting a home that works for you.
So, saying we’re near 2008 levels for new construction isn’t the same as the inventory surplus we did the last time.
